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Identifying Factors for Marriage Breakdown at Debre Birhan Town of Ethiopia: Logistic and Survival Analysis

Received: 12 August 2014     Accepted: 13 November 2014     Published: 7 September 2015
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Abstract

Marriage breakdown is a condition in which partners of a marital union cease to live together especially due to divorce or separation. The main objective of this study is identifying factors for marriage breakdown. To achieve this sample of 576 respondents was taken using stratified random sampling method, during March 2012. From descriptive statistics we have seen that about 41.7% of the first marriage was broken in Debre Birhan town. A series of statistical analysis have done: factors for marriage breakdown were analyzed using binary logistic regression and time to marriage breakdown was analyzed by Cox proportional hazard model. From the binary logistic regression we have seen that being infertile, marry at age of 12-18 years (early marriage), sexual incompatibility, unfaithfulness, absence of discussion and illiterate husbands are exposed to the risk of marriage break down. From the Cox proportional hazard model we have seen that; spouses who are infertile, marry b/n 12-18 years for females, too low (<4 years) or too high (>10 years) age gap, having different religion, sexual incompatibility and unfaithfulness leads to the shorter survival time of first marriage. Finally we have recommend that Spouses should have a habit of discussion, specially on sexual issue, youth should insure that they have the potential to pursue marriage its responsibility before coming to the institution. Awareness creation and counseling service should have given about the effect of early marriage, the importance of legal- marriage, impact of religion difference of spouses and gender equality.

Published in American Journal of Theoretical and Applied Statistics (Volume 4, Issue 5)
DOI 10.11648/j.ajtas.20150405.19
Page(s) 389-395
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2015. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Marriage Breakdown, Logistic Regression, Cox proportional Hazard, Debre Birhan Town

References
[1] Abeje, T. 1995. Nupitality Differencials Among Women in Addis Ababa, Unpublished Master’s Thesis. DTRC, Institute of Development Research Addis Ababa University.
[2] Agresti, A. 1996. An Introduction to Categorical Data Analysis. John Wiley and Sons, Inc., New York.
[3] Allison, P. 1984, Box, S. and Jons 2004, Yamaguchi. 1991. ‘He Left, She Left: Gains to Marriage, Relative Resources and Divorce Initiation’, Population Association of America Annual Meeting, Philadelphia, USA.
[4] Amato, P. & Booth, A. (1997), A Generation at Risk: Growing Up in an Era of Family Disheaval, Harvard University Press, Cambridge.
[5] Amato, P. 1996. Explaining the Intergenerational Transmission of Divorce. Journal of Marriage and the Family 58:628-640.
[6] Beck, E. 2002. Reinventing the Family; in Search of New Life Styles. Cambridge: Polity Press.
[7] Beck, U. and E. Beck-Gernsheim. 1995. The Normal Chaos of Love, Polity Press, Cambridge University.
[8] Beck, U. and E. Beck-Gernsheim. 1995. The Normal Chaos of Love. Cambridge: Polity Press.
[9] Becker, G. 1981. A Treatise on the Family, Harvard University Press, Cambridge, Massachusetts.
[10] Becker, Garys, Landes, Elisabeth M. and Micahel, Robert T. 1977. An Economic Analysis of Marital Instability. Journal of Political Economy, 85(6): 1141-1187.
[11] Belinda, H. 2008. Marriage Breakdown in Australia: Social Correlates, Gender and Initiator Status. The University of Queensland.
[12] Bewick, L. and Jonathan, B. 2005. Statistics Review 14: Logist.
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  • APA Style

    Getahun Mulugeta. (2015). Identifying Factors for Marriage Breakdown at Debre Birhan Town of Ethiopia: Logistic and Survival Analysis. American Journal of Theoretical and Applied Statistics, 4(5), 389-395. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajtas.20150405.19

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    ACS Style

    Getahun Mulugeta. Identifying Factors for Marriage Breakdown at Debre Birhan Town of Ethiopia: Logistic and Survival Analysis. Am. J. Theor. Appl. Stat. 2015, 4(5), 389-395. doi: 10.11648/j.ajtas.20150405.19

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    AMA Style

    Getahun Mulugeta. Identifying Factors for Marriage Breakdown at Debre Birhan Town of Ethiopia: Logistic and Survival Analysis. Am J Theor Appl Stat. 2015;4(5):389-395. doi: 10.11648/j.ajtas.20150405.19

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  • @article{10.11648/j.ajtas.20150405.19,
      author = {Getahun Mulugeta},
      title = {Identifying Factors for Marriage Breakdown at Debre Birhan Town of Ethiopia: Logistic and Survival Analysis},
      journal = {American Journal of Theoretical and Applied Statistics},
      volume = {4},
      number = {5},
      pages = {389-395},
      doi = {10.11648/j.ajtas.20150405.19},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajtas.20150405.19},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ajtas.20150405.19},
      abstract = {Marriage breakdown is a condition in which partners of a marital union cease to live together especially due to divorce or separation. The main objective of this study is identifying factors for marriage breakdown. To achieve this sample of 576 respondents was taken using stratified random sampling method, during March 2012. From descriptive statistics we have seen that about 41.7% of the first marriage was broken in Debre Birhan town. A series of statistical analysis have done: factors for marriage breakdown were analyzed using binary logistic regression and time to marriage breakdown was analyzed by Cox proportional hazard model. From the binary logistic regression we have seen that being infertile, marry at age of 12-18 years (early marriage), sexual incompatibility, unfaithfulness, absence of discussion and illiterate husbands are exposed to the risk of marriage break down. From the Cox proportional hazard model we have seen that; spouses who are infertile, marry b/n 12-18 years for females, too low (10 years) age gap, having different religion, sexual incompatibility and unfaithfulness leads to the shorter survival time of first marriage. Finally we have recommend that Spouses should have a habit of discussion, specially on sexual issue, youth should insure that they have the potential to pursue marriage its responsibility before coming to the institution. Awareness creation and counseling service should have given about the effect of early marriage, the importance of legal- marriage, impact of religion difference of spouses and gender equality.},
     year = {2015}
    }
    

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    AU  - Getahun Mulugeta
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    JO  - American Journal of Theoretical and Applied Statistics
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    AB  - Marriage breakdown is a condition in which partners of a marital union cease to live together especially due to divorce or separation. The main objective of this study is identifying factors for marriage breakdown. To achieve this sample of 576 respondents was taken using stratified random sampling method, during March 2012. From descriptive statistics we have seen that about 41.7% of the first marriage was broken in Debre Birhan town. A series of statistical analysis have done: factors for marriage breakdown were analyzed using binary logistic regression and time to marriage breakdown was analyzed by Cox proportional hazard model. From the binary logistic regression we have seen that being infertile, marry at age of 12-18 years (early marriage), sexual incompatibility, unfaithfulness, absence of discussion and illiterate husbands are exposed to the risk of marriage break down. From the Cox proportional hazard model we have seen that; spouses who are infertile, marry b/n 12-18 years for females, too low (10 years) age gap, having different religion, sexual incompatibility and unfaithfulness leads to the shorter survival time of first marriage. Finally we have recommend that Spouses should have a habit of discussion, specially on sexual issue, youth should insure that they have the potential to pursue marriage its responsibility before coming to the institution. Awareness creation and counseling service should have given about the effect of early marriage, the importance of legal- marriage, impact of religion difference of spouses and gender equality.
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Author Information
  • Department of Statistics, Debre Birhan University, Debre Birhan, Ethiopia

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