| Peer-Reviewed

Research on the Impact of RMB Exchange Rate Fluctuation on Chinese Stock Market——From the Perspective of Index

Received: 18 November 2015     Published: 20 November 2015
Views:       Downloads:
Abstract

In order to study the relationship between RMB exchange rate and Chinese stock markets, this article makes the theoretical analysis and empirical analysis, which is based on Johansen cointegration test and Granger causality test. The data include 11 Chinese industry sectors. The results show that the relation between RMB exchange rate and the logarithm of three Chinese sector indexes, containing textiles, pharmaceutical business and general machinery, exists long-term cointegration relationship, and the change of RMB exchange rate is the Granger cause of these Chinese sector indexes; however, RMB exchange rate has no significant cointegration relationship with eight Chinese sector indexes, containing paper, real estate, financial services, air transport, iron and steel, non-ferrous metals refining, petrochemical and trade. Finally, this article makes an analysis on the empirical results and presents some policy suggestions.

Published in International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences (Volume 3, Issue 5)
DOI 10.11648/j.ijefm.20150305.40
Page(s) 641-645
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2015. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Exchange Rate Movements, Sector Index, Johansen, Granger

References
[1] Abdalla, I. S.A. and V. Murinde, 1997, / Exchange Rate and Stock Price Interactions inEmerging Markets: Evidence on India, Korea,Pakistan and the Philippines0 , AppliedFinancial Economics, 7: 25 ) 35.
[2] GRANGER C J,HUANG B N,YANG C W. A bivariatecausality between stock prices and exchange rates: evidencefrom recent Asian flu [J]. The Quarterly Review of Economicsand Finance,2000(40).
[3] SOENEN L A,HENNIGAR E S. An analysis of exchange ratesand stock prices - the US experience between 1980 and 1986[J].Akron Business and Economic Review,1989(12).
[4] 陈静、李汉东.中国市场汇率变动与股票市场价格波动的相关性研究[J].北京师范大学学报:自然科学版.2008,(6)。
[5] 邓燊、杨朝军.汇率制度改革后中国股市与汇市关系[J].金融研究.2007,(12)。
[6] 方婷、曹崇延、蒋果.人民币汇率与行业股指的协整及因果关系分析[J].安徽大学学报.2008(1)。
[7] 高铁梅.计量经济分析方法与建模:Eviews应用及实例[M].北京:清华大学出版社,2006。
[8] 李忠、张涤新.金融危机背景下汇市与股市关系实证研究[J].财经论丛.2009,(4)。
[9] 吴丽华、傅广敏.人民币汇率、短期资本与股价互动[J].经济研究.2014,(11)。
[10] 熊正德、文慧、万军.汇率与股指联动关系:基于战略性新兴产业板块的实证[J].系统工程.2015,(7)。
[11] 张碧琼、李越.汇率对中国股票市场的影响是否存在:从自回归分布滞后模型得到的证明[J].金融研究.2002,(7)。
[12] 张兵、封思贤、李心丹、汪慧建.汇率与股价变动关系:基于汇改后数据的实证研究[J].经济研究.2008,(9)。
[13] 朱新蓉,朱振元.人民币汇率波动与中国股票价格报酬之间的相关性——基于2005年至2007年的实证分析[J].金融研究.2008,(11)。
[14] 赵进文、张敬思.人民币汇率、短期国际资本流动与股票价格——基于汇改后数据的再检验[J].金融研究.2013,(1)。
Cite This Article
  • APA Style

    Xing Chengdong, Zhang Quan. (2015). Research on the Impact of RMB Exchange Rate Fluctuation on Chinese Stock Market——From the Perspective of Index. International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences, 3(5), 641-645. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijefm.20150305.40

    Copy | Download

    ACS Style

    Xing Chengdong; Zhang Quan. Research on the Impact of RMB Exchange Rate Fluctuation on Chinese Stock Market——From the Perspective of Index. Int. J. Econ. Finance Manag. Sci. 2015, 3(5), 641-645. doi: 10.11648/j.ijefm.20150305.40

    Copy | Download

    AMA Style

    Xing Chengdong, Zhang Quan. Research on the Impact of RMB Exchange Rate Fluctuation on Chinese Stock Market——From the Perspective of Index. Int J Econ Finance Manag Sci. 2015;3(5):641-645. doi: 10.11648/j.ijefm.20150305.40

    Copy | Download

  • @article{10.11648/j.ijefm.20150305.40,
      author = {Xing Chengdong and Zhang Quan},
      title = {Research on the Impact of RMB Exchange Rate Fluctuation on Chinese Stock Market——From the Perspective of Index},
      journal = {International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences},
      volume = {3},
      number = {5},
      pages = {641-645},
      doi = {10.11648/j.ijefm.20150305.40},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijefm.20150305.40},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ijefm.20150305.40},
      abstract = {In order to study the relationship between RMB exchange rate and Chinese stock markets, this article makes the theoretical analysis and empirical analysis, which is based on Johansen cointegration test and Granger causality test. The data include 11 Chinese industry sectors. The results show that the relation between RMB exchange rate and the logarithm of three Chinese sector indexes, containing textiles, pharmaceutical business and general machinery, exists long-term cointegration relationship, and the change of RMB exchange rate is the Granger cause of these Chinese sector indexes; however, RMB exchange rate has no significant cointegration relationship with eight Chinese sector indexes, containing paper, real estate, financial services, air transport, iron and steel, non-ferrous metals refining, petrochemical and trade. Finally, this article makes an analysis on the empirical results and presents some policy suggestions.},
     year = {2015}
    }
    

    Copy | Download

  • TY  - JOUR
    T1  - Research on the Impact of RMB Exchange Rate Fluctuation on Chinese Stock Market——From the Perspective of Index
    AU  - Xing Chengdong
    AU  - Zhang Quan
    Y1  - 2015/11/20
    PY  - 2015
    N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijefm.20150305.40
    DO  - 10.11648/j.ijefm.20150305.40
    T2  - International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences
    JF  - International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences
    JO  - International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences
    SP  - 641
    EP  - 645
    PB  - Science Publishing Group
    SN  - 2326-9561
    UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijefm.20150305.40
    AB  - In order to study the relationship between RMB exchange rate and Chinese stock markets, this article makes the theoretical analysis and empirical analysis, which is based on Johansen cointegration test and Granger causality test. The data include 11 Chinese industry sectors. The results show that the relation between RMB exchange rate and the logarithm of three Chinese sector indexes, containing textiles, pharmaceutical business and general machinery, exists long-term cointegration relationship, and the change of RMB exchange rate is the Granger cause of these Chinese sector indexes; however, RMB exchange rate has no significant cointegration relationship with eight Chinese sector indexes, containing paper, real estate, financial services, air transport, iron and steel, non-ferrous metals refining, petrochemical and trade. Finally, this article makes an analysis on the empirical results and presents some policy suggestions.
    VL  - 3
    IS  - 5
    ER  - 

    Copy | Download

Author Information
  • Economics School, Shanghai University, Shanghai, China

  • Economics School, Shanghai University, Shanghai, China

  • Sections