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The Arab Maghreb Union: the "Cost of Non Maghreb" and Sectoral Prospects

Received: 30 August 2013     Published: 20 October 2013
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Abstract

The aim of the paper is to find out the “No Maghreb” cost as untapped opportunities of intra regional trade and to check the existence of comparative advantages in the Maghreb region. We use panel data with gravity model to study the relationship between total exports and factors affecting them, as well as, the exports by sector and their determinants for a sample of 57 countries, between, 1980-2007. The goal is to point out the total exports potential as a proxy of the “No Maghreb” cost. The study also allows establishing whether there are comparative advantages among the region countries. The results show the weak level of intra regional trade comparing to its potential. They also demonstrate that Maghreb countries have similarities and disparities according to some comparative advantages. This contributes to encourage intra regional trade and improve trade perspectives in Maghreb.

Published in International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences (Volume 1, Issue 6)
DOI 10.11648/j.ijefm.20130106.14
Page(s) 285-291
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2013. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Trade Integration, No Cost Maghreb, Comparative Advantage, Potential Commercial Model Gravity

References
[1] Achy L (2007). Le commerce intra-régional : l’Afrique du Nord est-elle une exception. L'Année du Maghreb [En ligne], III | 2007, mis en ligne le 01 novembre 2010. URL : http://anneemaghreb.revues.org/395
[2] Al-Atrash H, Youssef T., (1999), «Intra-Arab Trade : is it too little ? » IMF Working Papers, WP/00/10.
[3] Anderson J., (1979), « A theoretical foundation for the gravity equation », American Economic Review, 69, pp. 106-116.
[4] Banque Mondiale (2006), « Is the a new vision for Maghreb economic integrations? » volume I : Main Report, Social and economic Development group, Middle East and North Africa region, The World Bank
[5] Breusch.T.S., Pagan.A.R., (1979), «A Simple Test for Heteroscedasticity and Random Coefficient Variation», Econometrica 47, pp1287–1294
[6] Carey H.C., (1858), « Principles of Social Science », Philadelphia, J. Lippincott
[7] Combes.P.F., thierry.M., Thisse.J.F., (2006), «Economie géographique: l'intégration des régions et des nations», Economica, Paris.
[8] Eventt S.J., Keller W. (2002) "On theories explaining the success of gravity equation" Journal of Political Économy, vol. 110 (2), pp. 281-316.
[9] Fontagné L, Pajot M, Pasteels J.M ., (2002), « Potentiels de commerce entre économies hétérogènes : un petit mode d’emploi des modèles de gravit » Économie et Prévision n° 152-153, pp 115 à 139.
[10] Hausman J., (1978), « Specification tests in econometrics», Econometrica 46 (6), pp.1251–1271. http://129.3.20.41/eps/prog/papers/0501/0501107.pdf
[11] Hummels D., Levinsohn J., (1995), «Monopolistic competition and international trade: Reconsidering the Evidence», Quarterly Journal of Economics, vol. 110 (3), pp. 799-836.
[12] Kpodar K., (2007), «Manuel d'initiation à Stata (Version 8) », Centre D’Etudes et de Recherches sur le Développement International.
[13] Miniesy R.S., Nugent J.B., et Yousef T.M., (2004), «Intra-regional trade integration in the Middle East. Past Performance and Future Potential» in H. Hakimian et J.B. Nugent (eds). Trade Policy and Economic Integration in the Middle East and North Africa. Economic Boundaries in Flux, Routledge, London.
[14] Reilly W.J., (1931), « The law of retail gravitation », New York, Pilsbury.
[15] Tinbergen J., (1962), « Shaping the world economy: suggestions for an International Economic Policy», New York, Twentieth Century Fund.
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  • APA Style

    Adnen OUESLATI, Riadh BRINI. (2013). The Arab Maghreb Union: the "Cost of Non Maghreb" and Sectoral Prospects. International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences, 1(6), 285-291. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijefm.20130106.14

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    ACS Style

    Adnen OUESLATI; Riadh BRINI. The Arab Maghreb Union: the "Cost of Non Maghreb" and Sectoral Prospects. Int. J. Econ. Finance Manag. Sci. 2013, 1(6), 285-291. doi: 10.11648/j.ijefm.20130106.14

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    AMA Style

    Adnen OUESLATI, Riadh BRINI. The Arab Maghreb Union: the "Cost of Non Maghreb" and Sectoral Prospects. Int J Econ Finance Manag Sci. 2013;1(6):285-291. doi: 10.11648/j.ijefm.20130106.14

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  • @article{10.11648/j.ijefm.20130106.14,
      author = {Adnen OUESLATI and Riadh BRINI},
      title = {The Arab Maghreb Union: the "Cost of Non Maghreb" and Sectoral Prospects},
      journal = {International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences},
      volume = {1},
      number = {6},
      pages = {285-291},
      doi = {10.11648/j.ijefm.20130106.14},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijefm.20130106.14},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ijefm.20130106.14},
      abstract = {The aim of the paper is to find out the “No Maghreb” cost as untapped opportunities of intra regional trade and to check the existence of comparative advantages in the Maghreb region. We use panel data with gravity model to study the relationship between total exports and factors affecting them, as well as, the exports by sector and their determinants for a sample of 57 countries, between, 1980-2007. The goal is to point out the total exports potential as a proxy of the “No Maghreb” cost. The study also allows establishing whether there are comparative advantages among the region countries. The results show the weak level of intra regional trade comparing to its potential. They also demonstrate that Maghreb countries have similarities and disparities according to some comparative advantages. This contributes to encourage intra regional trade and improve trade perspectives in Maghreb.},
     year = {2013}
    }
    

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    AB  - The aim of the paper is to find out the “No Maghreb” cost as untapped opportunities of intra regional trade and to check the existence of comparative advantages in the Maghreb region. We use panel data with gravity model to study the relationship between total exports and factors affecting them, as well as, the exports by sector and their determinants for a sample of 57 countries, between, 1980-2007. The goal is to point out the total exports potential as a proxy of the “No Maghreb” cost. The study also allows establishing whether there are comparative advantages among the region countries. The results show the weak level of intra regional trade comparing to its potential. They also demonstrate that Maghreb countries have similarities and disparities according to some comparative advantages. This contributes to encourage intra regional trade and improve trade perspectives in Maghreb.
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Author Information
  • PhD in Economics, Business and Economics University of Tunis

  • PhD in Economics, Business and Economics University of Tunis

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