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The Hazards of Noise in Military Decision Making and Strategies for Coping

Received: 8 May 2023     Accepted: 5 June 2023     Published: 14 June 2023
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Abstract

Physical noise is known to have a wide range of effects on human memory, reasoning, and other basic cognitive abilities. In this paper, we generalize the concept of noise to decision making behavior and study the hazards of noise in military decision making and coping strategies. Decision noise has always seemed like insignificant background information that is easily ignored by decision makers. In fact, decision noise is prevalent and greatly affects the decision quality of decision makers as an important factor that influences decision making. This paper explains the meaning of decision noise and classifies decision noise into level noise, pattern noise and scenario noise according to the difference of decision noise. On this basis, the characteristics of decision noise, universality, two-sidedness and concealment are summarized. Subsequently, the CECA decision model is used to analyze the mechanism of noise influence on military decision making, and a typical case of noise influence on military decision making is given. In response to the mechanism of noise influencing military decision making, the paper gives three strategies for coping with decision noise, and these coping strategies can serve as useful references for military decision makers at different levels. Finally, an outlook on military decision maker noise for psychological warfare to achieve established military behavior is given.

Published in Science Innovation (Volume 11, Issue 3)
DOI 10.11648/j.si.20231103.23
Page(s) 164-168
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2023. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Noise, Military Decision-Making, Cognitive Bias, Coping Strategies

References
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  • APA Style

    Li Shifei, Gao Kaixiang, Liu Yang. (2023). The Hazards of Noise in Military Decision Making and Strategies for Coping. Science Innovation, 11(3), 164-168. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.si.20231103.23

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    ACS Style

    Li Shifei; Gao Kaixiang; Liu Yang. The Hazards of Noise in Military Decision Making and Strategies for Coping. Sci. Innov. 2023, 11(3), 164-168. doi: 10.11648/j.si.20231103.23

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    AMA Style

    Li Shifei, Gao Kaixiang, Liu Yang. The Hazards of Noise in Military Decision Making and Strategies for Coping. Sci Innov. 2023;11(3):164-168. doi: 10.11648/j.si.20231103.23

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  • @article{10.11648/j.si.20231103.23,
      author = {Li Shifei and Gao Kaixiang and Liu Yang},
      title = {The Hazards of Noise in Military Decision Making and Strategies for Coping},
      journal = {Science Innovation},
      volume = {11},
      number = {3},
      pages = {164-168},
      doi = {10.11648/j.si.20231103.23},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.si.20231103.23},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.si.20231103.23},
      abstract = {Physical noise is known to have a wide range of effects on human memory, reasoning, and other basic cognitive abilities. In this paper, we generalize the concept of noise to decision making behavior and study the hazards of noise in military decision making and coping strategies. Decision noise has always seemed like insignificant background information that is easily ignored by decision makers. In fact, decision noise is prevalent and greatly affects the decision quality of decision makers as an important factor that influences decision making. This paper explains the meaning of decision noise and classifies decision noise into level noise, pattern noise and scenario noise according to the difference of decision noise. On this basis, the characteristics of decision noise, universality, two-sidedness and concealment are summarized. Subsequently, the CECA decision model is used to analyze the mechanism of noise influence on military decision making, and a typical case of noise influence on military decision making is given. In response to the mechanism of noise influencing military decision making, the paper gives three strategies for coping with decision noise, and these coping strategies can serve as useful references for military decision makers at different levels. Finally, an outlook on military decision maker noise for psychological warfare to achieve established military behavior is given.},
     year = {2023}
    }
    

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  • TY  - JOUR
    T1  - The Hazards of Noise in Military Decision Making and Strategies for Coping
    AU  - Li Shifei
    AU  - Gao Kaixiang
    AU  - Liu Yang
    Y1  - 2023/06/14
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    N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.si.20231103.23
    DO  - 10.11648/j.si.20231103.23
    T2  - Science Innovation
    JF  - Science Innovation
    JO  - Science Innovation
    SP  - 164
    EP  - 168
    PB  - Science Publishing Group
    SN  - 2328-787X
    UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.si.20231103.23
    AB  - Physical noise is known to have a wide range of effects on human memory, reasoning, and other basic cognitive abilities. In this paper, we generalize the concept of noise to decision making behavior and study the hazards of noise in military decision making and coping strategies. Decision noise has always seemed like insignificant background information that is easily ignored by decision makers. In fact, decision noise is prevalent and greatly affects the decision quality of decision makers as an important factor that influences decision making. This paper explains the meaning of decision noise and classifies decision noise into level noise, pattern noise and scenario noise according to the difference of decision noise. On this basis, the characteristics of decision noise, universality, two-sidedness and concealment are summarized. Subsequently, the CECA decision model is used to analyze the mechanism of noise influence on military decision making, and a typical case of noise influence on military decision making is given. In response to the mechanism of noise influencing military decision making, the paper gives three strategies for coping with decision noise, and these coping strategies can serve as useful references for military decision makers at different levels. Finally, an outlook on military decision maker noise for psychological warfare to achieve established military behavior is given.
    VL  - 11
    IS  - 3
    ER  - 

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Author Information
  • Department of Early Warming Technology, Air Force Early Warming Academy, Wuhan, China

  • Third Group of Students, Air Force Early Warming Academy, Wuhan, China

  • Department of Early Warming Technology, Air Force Early Warming Academy, Wuhan, China

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