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The Influence of Behavioral Finance on Capital Market in China - Take the Asymmetrical Stock Market Fluctuation as an Example

Received: 2 August 2018     Published: 3 August 2018
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Abstract

The volatility of stock returns is affected by macro variables, economic policies, company fundamentals and investor sentiment. This paper studies the effect of behavioral finance on the asymmetry of stock market volatility, and selects the CSI 300 daily return rate from January 4, 2008 to December 31, 2016 as the research observations, using the EGARCH model that introduces the loss aversion function to model.The CSI 300 index daily returns volatility model is empirically tested. Empirical findings: (1) Loss of aversion and overreaction can explain the asymmetry (leverage) of volatility in China's stock market, that is, the fluctuation caused by the same amount of “bad” is greater than the fluctuation caused by the same “good” news. (2) The revised model more closely describes the asymmetry of China's stock market volatility and reflects the impact of asymmetric volatility on stock market risk control, pricing, and asset allocation. Finally, the article proposes to adopt a reversal strategy to reduce the bias caused by some human factors by quantifying transactions.

Published in Science Innovation (Volume 6, Issue 4)
DOI 10.11648/j.si.20180604.20
Page(s) 232-239
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2018. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Stock Market Volatility, Asymmetry, Loss Aversion, Overreaction

References
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    Yiqin Sun. (2018). The Influence of Behavioral Finance on Capital Market in China - Take the Asymmetrical Stock Market Fluctuation as an Example. Science Innovation, 6(4), 232-239. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.si.20180604.20

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    ACS Style

    Yiqin Sun. The Influence of Behavioral Finance on Capital Market in China - Take the Asymmetrical Stock Market Fluctuation as an Example. Sci. Innov. 2018, 6(4), 232-239. doi: 10.11648/j.si.20180604.20

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    AMA Style

    Yiqin Sun. The Influence of Behavioral Finance on Capital Market in China - Take the Asymmetrical Stock Market Fluctuation as an Example. Sci Innov. 2018;6(4):232-239. doi: 10.11648/j.si.20180604.20

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  • @article{10.11648/j.si.20180604.20,
      author = {Yiqin Sun},
      title = {The Influence of Behavioral Finance on Capital Market in China - Take the Asymmetrical Stock Market Fluctuation as an Example},
      journal = {Science Innovation},
      volume = {6},
      number = {4},
      pages = {232-239},
      doi = {10.11648/j.si.20180604.20},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.si.20180604.20},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.si.20180604.20},
      abstract = {The volatility of stock returns is affected by macro variables, economic policies, company fundamentals and investor sentiment. This paper studies the effect of behavioral finance on the asymmetry of stock market volatility, and selects the CSI 300 daily return rate from January 4, 2008 to December 31, 2016 as the research observations, using the EGARCH model that introduces the loss aversion function to model.The CSI 300 index daily returns volatility model is empirically tested. Empirical findings: (1) Loss of aversion and overreaction can explain the asymmetry (leverage) of volatility in China's stock market, that is, the fluctuation caused by the same amount of “bad” is greater than the fluctuation caused by the same “good” news. (2) The revised model more closely describes the asymmetry of China's stock market volatility and reflects the impact of asymmetric volatility on stock market risk control, pricing, and asset allocation. Finally, the article proposes to adopt a reversal strategy to reduce the bias caused by some human factors by quantifying transactions.},
     year = {2018}
    }
    

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  • TY  - JOUR
    T1  - The Influence of Behavioral Finance on Capital Market in China - Take the Asymmetrical Stock Market Fluctuation as an Example
    AU  - Yiqin Sun
    Y1  - 2018/08/03
    PY  - 2018
    N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.si.20180604.20
    DO  - 10.11648/j.si.20180604.20
    T2  - Science Innovation
    JF  - Science Innovation
    JO  - Science Innovation
    SP  - 232
    EP  - 239
    PB  - Science Publishing Group
    SN  - 2328-787X
    UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.si.20180604.20
    AB  - The volatility of stock returns is affected by macro variables, economic policies, company fundamentals and investor sentiment. This paper studies the effect of behavioral finance on the asymmetry of stock market volatility, and selects the CSI 300 daily return rate from January 4, 2008 to December 31, 2016 as the research observations, using the EGARCH model that introduces the loss aversion function to model.The CSI 300 index daily returns volatility model is empirically tested. Empirical findings: (1) Loss of aversion and overreaction can explain the asymmetry (leverage) of volatility in China's stock market, that is, the fluctuation caused by the same amount of “bad” is greater than the fluctuation caused by the same “good” news. (2) The revised model more closely describes the asymmetry of China's stock market volatility and reflects the impact of asymmetric volatility on stock market risk control, pricing, and asset allocation. Finally, the article proposes to adopt a reversal strategy to reduce the bias caused by some human factors by quantifying transactions.
    VL  - 6
    IS  - 4
    ER  - 

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Author Information
  • School of Economics, Shanghai University, Shanghai, China

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