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Dynamics of Passenger Demand and Transport Work in Croatian Public Road Traffic System

Received: 12 June 2020     Accepted: 2 July 2020     Published: 17 August 2020
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Abstract

Passenger demand and transport work are the basic quantitative indicators of the effects achieved in public road passenger transport activities. The research is conducted to determine the need for managing the transport system and planning its further development. The aim of this paper was to determine the dynamics of development of these two sizes in the seventeen-year period from 2000 to 2016, and to use them to develop a prognostic trend model for the future period. Furthermore, the correlation analysis determined the relations between traffic and economic quantities, and the road transport system was compared by mathematical and statistical parameters with all other traffic systems of the Republic of Croatia, in order to determine its share and importance in the Croatian public transport system. Based on the analysis conducted for passenger demand, a future downward trend is projected. Future trends will be identified for transport work based on the developed trend model and correlations between transport and economic sizes. Furthermore, the road transport system accounts for the largest share of transport work and passenger demand in the Croatian public transport system.

Published in American Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering (Volume 5, Issue 3)
DOI 10.11648/j.ajtte.20200503.12
Page(s) 34-42
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2020. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Croatian Public Road Traffic System, Prognostic Trend Model, Passenger Demand, Transport Work

References
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Cite This Article
  • APA Style

    Tomislav Bubalo, Marijan Rajsman, Tomislav Kukec. (2020). Dynamics of Passenger Demand and Transport Work in Croatian Public Road Traffic System. American Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 5(3), 34-42. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajtte.20200503.12

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    ACS Style

    Tomislav Bubalo; Marijan Rajsman; Tomislav Kukec. Dynamics of Passenger Demand and Transport Work in Croatian Public Road Traffic System. Am. J. Traffic Transp. Eng. 2020, 5(3), 34-42. doi: 10.11648/j.ajtte.20200503.12

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    AMA Style

    Tomislav Bubalo, Marijan Rajsman, Tomislav Kukec. Dynamics of Passenger Demand and Transport Work in Croatian Public Road Traffic System. Am J Traffic Transp Eng. 2020;5(3):34-42. doi: 10.11648/j.ajtte.20200503.12

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  • @article{10.11648/j.ajtte.20200503.12,
      author = {Tomislav Bubalo and Marijan Rajsman and Tomislav Kukec},
      title = {Dynamics of Passenger Demand and Transport Work in Croatian Public Road Traffic System},
      journal = {American Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering},
      volume = {5},
      number = {3},
      pages = {34-42},
      doi = {10.11648/j.ajtte.20200503.12},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajtte.20200503.12},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ajtte.20200503.12},
      abstract = {Passenger demand and transport work are the basic quantitative indicators of the effects achieved in public road passenger transport activities. The research is conducted to determine the need for managing the transport system and planning its further development. The aim of this paper was to determine the dynamics of development of these two sizes in the seventeen-year period from 2000 to 2016, and to use them to develop a prognostic trend model for the future period. Furthermore, the correlation analysis determined the relations between traffic and economic quantities, and the road transport system was compared by mathematical and statistical parameters with all other traffic systems of the Republic of Croatia, in order to determine its share and importance in the Croatian public transport system. Based on the analysis conducted for passenger demand, a future downward trend is projected. Future trends will be identified for transport work based on the developed trend model and correlations between transport and economic sizes. Furthermore, the road transport system accounts for the largest share of transport work and passenger demand in the Croatian public transport system.},
     year = {2020}
    }
    

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    T1  - Dynamics of Passenger Demand and Transport Work in Croatian Public Road Traffic System
    AU  - Tomislav Bubalo
    AU  - Marijan Rajsman
    AU  - Tomislav Kukec
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    DO  - 10.11648/j.ajtte.20200503.12
    T2  - American Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering
    JF  - American Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering
    JO  - American Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering
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    PB  - Science Publishing Group
    SN  - 2578-8604
    UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajtte.20200503.12
    AB  - Passenger demand and transport work are the basic quantitative indicators of the effects achieved in public road passenger transport activities. The research is conducted to determine the need for managing the transport system and planning its further development. The aim of this paper was to determine the dynamics of development of these two sizes in the seventeen-year period from 2000 to 2016, and to use them to develop a prognostic trend model for the future period. Furthermore, the correlation analysis determined the relations between traffic and economic quantities, and the road transport system was compared by mathematical and statistical parameters with all other traffic systems of the Republic of Croatia, in order to determine its share and importance in the Croatian public transport system. Based on the analysis conducted for passenger demand, a future downward trend is projected. Future trends will be identified for transport work based on the developed trend model and correlations between transport and economic sizes. Furthermore, the road transport system accounts for the largest share of transport work and passenger demand in the Croatian public transport system.
    VL  - 5
    IS  - 3
    ER  - 

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Author Information
  • TB Consulting j.d.o.o., Zagreb, Croatia

  • Department of Road Transportation, Faculty of Transportation and Traffic Sciences, University of Zagreb, Zagreb, Croatia

  • Englmayer d.o.o., Zagreb, Croatia

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