Cricket is the second most watched sport in the world after soccer, and enjoys a multi-million dollar industry. There is remarkable interest in simulating cricket and more importantly in predicting the outcome of cricket match which is played in three formats namely test match, one day international and T20 match. The complex rules prevailing in the game, along with the various natural parameters affecting the outcome of a cricket match present significant challenges for accurate prediction. Several diverse parameters, including but not limited to cricketing skills and performances, match venues and even weather conditions can significantly affect the outcome of a game. There are number of research paper on pre-match prediction of cricket match. Many papers on building a prediction model that takes in historical match data as well as the instantaneous state of a match, and predict match results. We know in the cricket match with shorter version match result keep on changing every ball. So, it is important to predict the outcome of the match on every ball. In this paper, I have developed a model that predicts match result on every ball played. Using Duckworth- Lewis formula match outcome will be predicted for live match. For every ball bowled a probability is calculated and probability figure is plotted. For betting industry this model and the probability figure will be very useful for bettor in deciding which team to on and how much to bet.
| Published in | International Journal of Systems Science and Applied Mathematics (Volume 2, Issue 5) |
| DOI | 10.11648/j.ijssam.20170205.11 |
| Page(s) | 83-86 |
| Creative Commons |
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited. |
| Copyright |
Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Science Publishing Group |
Simulating, Duckworth-Lewis, Prediction Model, Probability Figure, Betting
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APA Style
Parag Shah. (2017). Predicting Outcome of Live Cricket Match Using Duckworth- Lewis Par Score. International Journal of Systems Science and Applied Mathematics, 2(5), 83-86. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijssam.20170205.11
ACS Style
Parag Shah. Predicting Outcome of Live Cricket Match Using Duckworth- Lewis Par Score. Int. J. Syst. Sci. Appl. Math. 2017, 2(5), 83-86. doi: 10.11648/j.ijssam.20170205.11
AMA Style
Parag Shah. Predicting Outcome of Live Cricket Match Using Duckworth- Lewis Par Score. Int J Syst Sci Appl Math. 2017;2(5):83-86. doi: 10.11648/j.ijssam.20170205.11
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Download@article{10.11648/j.ijssam.20170205.11,
author = {Parag Shah},
title = {Predicting Outcome of Live Cricket Match Using Duckworth- Lewis Par Score},
journal = {International Journal of Systems Science and Applied Mathematics},
volume = {2},
number = {5},
pages = {83-86},
doi = {10.11648/j.ijssam.20170205.11},
url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijssam.20170205.11},
eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ijssam.20170205.11},
abstract = {Cricket is the second most watched sport in the world after soccer, and enjoys a multi-million dollar industry. There is remarkable interest in simulating cricket and more importantly in predicting the outcome of cricket match which is played in three formats namely test match, one day international and T20 match. The complex rules prevailing in the game, along with the various natural parameters affecting the outcome of a cricket match present significant challenges for accurate prediction. Several diverse parameters, including but not limited to cricketing skills and performances, match venues and even weather conditions can significantly affect the outcome of a game. There are number of research paper on pre-match prediction of cricket match. Many papers on building a prediction model that takes in historical match data as well as the instantaneous state of a match, and predict match results. We know in the cricket match with shorter version match result keep on changing every ball. So, it is important to predict the outcome of the match on every ball. In this paper, I have developed a model that predicts match result on every ball played. Using Duckworth- Lewis formula match outcome will be predicted for live match. For every ball bowled a probability is calculated and probability figure is plotted. For betting industry this model and the probability figure will be very useful for bettor in deciding which team to on and how much to bet.},
year = {2017}
}
TY - JOUR T1 - Predicting Outcome of Live Cricket Match Using Duckworth- Lewis Par Score AU - Parag Shah Y1 - 2017/10/05 PY - 2017 N1 - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijssam.20170205.11 DO - 10.11648/j.ijssam.20170205.11 T2 - International Journal of Systems Science and Applied Mathematics JF - International Journal of Systems Science and Applied Mathematics JO - International Journal of Systems Science and Applied Mathematics SP - 83 EP - 86 PB - Science Publishing Group SN - 2575-5803 UR - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijssam.20170205.11 AB - Cricket is the second most watched sport in the world after soccer, and enjoys a multi-million dollar industry. There is remarkable interest in simulating cricket and more importantly in predicting the outcome of cricket match which is played in three formats namely test match, one day international and T20 match. The complex rules prevailing in the game, along with the various natural parameters affecting the outcome of a cricket match present significant challenges for accurate prediction. Several diverse parameters, including but not limited to cricketing skills and performances, match venues and even weather conditions can significantly affect the outcome of a game. There are number of research paper on pre-match prediction of cricket match. Many papers on building a prediction model that takes in historical match data as well as the instantaneous state of a match, and predict match results. We know in the cricket match with shorter version match result keep on changing every ball. So, it is important to predict the outcome of the match on every ball. In this paper, I have developed a model that predicts match result on every ball played. Using Duckworth- Lewis formula match outcome will be predicted for live match. For every ball bowled a probability is calculated and probability figure is plotted. For betting industry this model and the probability figure will be very useful for bettor in deciding which team to on and how much to bet. VL - 2 IS - 5 ER -
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