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Transmission Line Galloping Prediction Based on Numerical Weather Prediction Results

Received: 10 December 2018    Accepted:     Published: 11 December 2018
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Abstract

With the expansion and extension of power grid scale, the impact of catastrophic weather on the safe operation of power grids is increasing, and strengthening the prediction and early warning of catastrophic weather processes, which have a serious impact on power grid production, can effectively improve the efficiency and ability of power grids to cope with catastrophic weather. In this paper, using multi-data source data processing technology, the monitoring data of the transmission line micro-meteorological monitoring device is applied to the refinement numerical prediction calculation to improve the accuracy of the numerical weather forecast results in Henan province, and based on this research to establish the transmission line dance Prediction model, Predict the occurrence probability of transmission line dance under different meteorological environment conditions. Through the fine regional numerical prediction system and dynamic reduction scale technology, the hourly meteorological factor forecast of 1 km resolution in Henan Province in the next 3 days is predicted, the statistical revision of the forecast field of meteorological elements around the transmission line is established, and based on this, the prediction model of transmission line dance can greatly improve the prediction accuracy of transmission line dance, To form a more precise and accurate dance prediction results, to facilitate the power sector to carry out different time scales of transmission line dance early warning work.

Published in Journal of Electrical and Electronic Engineering (Volume 6, Issue 5)
DOI 10.11648/j.jeee.20180605.13
Page(s) 135-141
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Multiple Data Source, Dynamical Downscaling, Numerical Prediction, Galloping Prediction Model, Probability of Galloping

References
[1] Zhu Quanjun, Zhang Guowei, Shandongjie, et. Galloping control technology of overhead transmission lines in China [c]//impact of natural disasters on power facilities and Countermeasures seminar, Beijing, 2008: 360-370.
[2] ZHU Kuanjun, LIU Chaoqun, REN Xichun. Anti galloping of UHV transmission line [J]. High Voltage Technology, 2007, 33 (11): 61-65 (in Chinese).
[3] HU Hongchun. The prevention and control of ice damage, ice flashover and dancing [J]. Electric Power Construction, 2005, 26 (9): 31-33 (in Chinese).
[4] Zhou Lin. Numerical simulation and parametric analysis of ice-covered splitting conductor dancing [D]. Chongqing: Chongqing University, 2005.
[5] Luming Typical fault analysis of transmission line operation [M]. Beijing: China Power Press, 2014.
[6] Yao, Chen Min, Wang Jianjie. Application of variational assimilation in L-band minute data in WRF mode [J]. Meteorology, 2015, 41 (6): 695-706.
[7] Yang Lun Experimental study and nonlinear dynamics analysis of ice-covered transmission line dancing [D]. Hangzhou: Zhejiang University, 2014.
[8] Chen Qiuping, Chen Ziqiang, Liu Jinxiu and so on. The early warning system of strong convection weather forecast using satellite and radar data [J]. Meteorological technology. 2012. 39 (5): 545-551.
[9] Wu Guorui. Li Shuqing. Feng Xiaojian. Rainstorm and strong convective weather early warning system [J]. Guangdong Meteorological. 2003. 4th: 29-30.
[10] Chen Deseng. A study on the relationship between Doppler weather radar and lightning early warning [J]. Meteorology and environmental Science. 2010. 33 (1): 36-39.
[11] Li Shuai. Li Zhe. Liang. Application of strong convection early warning technology in power grid production [J]. Henan Science and Technology. 2015. Under 9th: 149-152.
[12] Zhouning. Bear Xiao Volt. Power meteorological technology and application [M]. Beijing: China Electric Power Press. 2015. 1.
[13] Shengliang, Yi Hui. Ice coating and protection of transmission lines [M]. China Electric Power Press, 2002.
[14] Pan Yingjie. Study on ice cover disaster early warning and emergency response system of overhead transmission line [D]. Yunnan University 2014.
[15] Zhang Lichun, Zhu Quanjun. Study on the Law of ice-covered dance disaster in transmission lines [J]. Power grids and clean energy. 2012 (09).
[16] Wang Jian. Study on risk analysis and early warning method of meteorological disaster in transmission line [D]. Chongqing University 2016.
[17] Sun Jianmao. Research on dance analysis and anti-dance technology of transmission line [D]. Zhejiang University 2010.
[18] Cao Jin Kam. Study on aerodynamic and dance characteristics of ice-covered conductors [D]. Huazhong 2013.
[19] Yong. Discussion on anti-icing disaster of transmission line [J]. Private science and technology. 2012 (12).
[20] Emad H. El-Zohri, M. Abdel-Salam, Hamdy M. Shafey, A. Ahmed. Mathematical modeling of flashover mechanism due to deposition of fire-produced soot particles on suspension insulators of a HVTL [J]. Electric Power Systems Research. 2013.
[21] Wang Shaohua, Shengliang, Sun Cai new. Research status of transmission line wire dance at home and abroad [J]. High voltage technology. 2005 (10).
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  • APA Style

    Li Shuai, Li Zhe, Liang Yun, Liu Shanfeng. (2018). Transmission Line Galloping Prediction Based on Numerical Weather Prediction Results. Journal of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, 6(5), 135-141. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.jeee.20180605.13

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    ACS Style

    Li Shuai; Li Zhe; Liang Yun; Liu Shanfeng. Transmission Line Galloping Prediction Based on Numerical Weather Prediction Results. J. Electr. Electron. Eng. 2018, 6(5), 135-141. doi: 10.11648/j.jeee.20180605.13

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    AMA Style

    Li Shuai, Li Zhe, Liang Yun, Liu Shanfeng. Transmission Line Galloping Prediction Based on Numerical Weather Prediction Results. J Electr Electron Eng. 2018;6(5):135-141. doi: 10.11648/j.jeee.20180605.13

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  • @article{10.11648/j.jeee.20180605.13,
      author = {Li Shuai and Li Zhe and Liang Yun and Liu Shanfeng},
      title = {Transmission Line Galloping Prediction Based on Numerical Weather Prediction Results},
      journal = {Journal of Electrical and Electronic Engineering},
      volume = {6},
      number = {5},
      pages = {135-141},
      doi = {10.11648/j.jeee.20180605.13},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.jeee.20180605.13},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.jeee.20180605.13},
      abstract = {With the expansion and extension of power grid scale, the impact of catastrophic weather on the safe operation of power grids is increasing, and strengthening the prediction and early warning of catastrophic weather processes, which have a serious impact on power grid production, can effectively improve the efficiency and ability of power grids to cope with catastrophic weather. In this paper, using multi-data source data processing technology, the monitoring data of the transmission line micro-meteorological monitoring device is applied to the refinement numerical prediction calculation to improve the accuracy of the numerical weather forecast results in Henan province, and based on this research to establish the transmission line dance Prediction model, Predict the occurrence probability of transmission line dance under different meteorological environment conditions. Through the fine regional numerical prediction system and dynamic reduction scale technology, the hourly meteorological factor forecast of 1 km resolution in Henan Province in the next 3 days is predicted, the statistical revision of the forecast field of meteorological elements around the transmission line is established, and based on this, the prediction model of transmission line dance can greatly improve the prediction accuracy of transmission line dance, To form a more precise and accurate dance prediction results, to facilitate the power sector to carry out different time scales of transmission line dance early warning work.},
     year = {2018}
    }
    

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  • TY  - JOUR
    T1  - Transmission Line Galloping Prediction Based on Numerical Weather Prediction Results
    AU  - Li Shuai
    AU  - Li Zhe
    AU  - Liang Yun
    AU  - Liu Shanfeng
    Y1  - 2018/12/11
    PY  - 2018
    N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.jeee.20180605.13
    DO  - 10.11648/j.jeee.20180605.13
    T2  - Journal of Electrical and Electronic Engineering
    JF  - Journal of Electrical and Electronic Engineering
    JO  - Journal of Electrical and Electronic Engineering
    SP  - 135
    EP  - 141
    PB  - Science Publishing Group
    SN  - 2329-1605
    UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.jeee.20180605.13
    AB  - With the expansion and extension of power grid scale, the impact of catastrophic weather on the safe operation of power grids is increasing, and strengthening the prediction and early warning of catastrophic weather processes, which have a serious impact on power grid production, can effectively improve the efficiency and ability of power grids to cope with catastrophic weather. In this paper, using multi-data source data processing technology, the monitoring data of the transmission line micro-meteorological monitoring device is applied to the refinement numerical prediction calculation to improve the accuracy of the numerical weather forecast results in Henan province, and based on this research to establish the transmission line dance Prediction model, Predict the occurrence probability of transmission line dance under different meteorological environment conditions. Through the fine regional numerical prediction system and dynamic reduction scale technology, the hourly meteorological factor forecast of 1 km resolution in Henan Province in the next 3 days is predicted, the statistical revision of the forecast field of meteorological elements around the transmission line is established, and based on this, the prediction model of transmission line dance can greatly improve the prediction accuracy of transmission line dance, To form a more precise and accurate dance prediction results, to facilitate the power sector to carry out different time scales of transmission line dance early warning work.
    VL  - 6
    IS  - 5
    ER  - 

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Author Information
  • Henan EPRI Hitech Group Co., Ltd., Zhengzhou, China

  • State Grid Henan Electric Power Research Institute, Zhengzhou, China

  • State Grid Henan Electric Power Research Institute, Zhengzhou, China

  • State Grid Henan Electric Power Research Institute, Zhengzhou, China

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