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Determinants of Inflation in Bangladesh: An Econometric Investigation

Received: 4 November 2014    Accepted: 15 November 2014    Published: 20 November 2014
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Abstract

Both the increase and the decrease of inflation rate (General Price level) are like a two side sharpened razor in an economy like Bangladesh. They both are harmful for an economy. Therefore, it has been attempted here to know about some experimented determinants of inflation. Moreover, in this respect a well-known econometric technique, namely, Autoregressive Distributed Lagged (ARDL) Model has been applied. By employing data series for 1972 to 2012, it has been indicated that the gross domestic product (GDPt), money supply (M2t), and interest rate (IRt) of current year of Bangladesh as well as previous year’s real exchange rate (RERt-1) and interest rate (IRt-1) have contributed to increase inflation in Bangladesh. It has also been noticed that current year’s real exchange rate (RERt) in Dollar and previous year’s money supply (M2t) have contributed to decrease the inflation rate. In our study, we emphasized on the significance of variables and availability of data because of which some important determinants like unemployment rate (Ut), remittance (REMt) and oil price (PPt) have been ignored in main model.

Published in Journal of World Economic Research (Volume 3, Issue 6)
DOI 10.11648/j.jwer.20140306.13
Page(s) 83-94
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This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

ARDL Model, Diagnostic Test, Inflation Rate, Money Supply, Interest Rate, Real Exchange Rate

References
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    Samim Uddin, Md. Niaz Murshed Chowdhury, Dr. Mohammad Abul Hossain. (2014). Determinants of Inflation in Bangladesh: An Econometric Investigation. Journal of World Economic Research, 3(6), 83-94. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.jwer.20140306.13

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    ACS Style

    Samim Uddin; Md. Niaz Murshed Chowdhury; Dr. Mohammad Abul Hossain. Determinants of Inflation in Bangladesh: An Econometric Investigation. J. World Econ. Res. 2014, 3(6), 83-94. doi: 10.11648/j.jwer.20140306.13

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    AMA Style

    Samim Uddin, Md. Niaz Murshed Chowdhury, Dr. Mohammad Abul Hossain. Determinants of Inflation in Bangladesh: An Econometric Investigation. J World Econ Res. 2014;3(6):83-94. doi: 10.11648/j.jwer.20140306.13

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  • @article{10.11648/j.jwer.20140306.13,
      author = {Samim Uddin and Md. Niaz Murshed Chowdhury and Dr. Mohammad Abul Hossain},
      title = {Determinants of Inflation in Bangladesh: An Econometric Investigation},
      journal = {Journal of World Economic Research},
      volume = {3},
      number = {6},
      pages = {83-94},
      doi = {10.11648/j.jwer.20140306.13},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.jwer.20140306.13},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.jwer.20140306.13},
      abstract = {Both the increase and the decrease of inflation rate (General Price level) are like a two side sharpened razor in an economy like Bangladesh. They both are harmful for an economy. Therefore, it has been attempted here to know about some experimented determinants of inflation. Moreover, in this respect a well-known econometric technique, namely, Autoregressive Distributed Lagged (ARDL) Model has been applied. By employing data series for 1972 to 2012, it has been indicated that the gross domestic product (GDPt), money supply (M2t), and interest rate (IRt) of current year of Bangladesh as well as previous year’s real exchange rate (RERt-1) and interest rate (IRt-1) have contributed to increase inflation in Bangladesh. It has also been noticed that current year’s real exchange rate (RERt) in Dollar and previous year’s money supply (M2t) have contributed to decrease the inflation rate. In our study, we emphasized on the significance of variables and availability of data because of which some important determinants like unemployment rate (Ut), remittance (REMt) and oil price (PPt) have been ignored in main model.},
     year = {2014}
    }
    

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    T1  - Determinants of Inflation in Bangladesh: An Econometric Investigation
    AU  - Samim Uddin
    AU  - Md. Niaz Murshed Chowdhury
    AU  - Dr. Mohammad Abul Hossain
    Y1  - 2014/11/20
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    N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.jwer.20140306.13
    DO  - 10.11648/j.jwer.20140306.13
    T2  - Journal of World Economic Research
    JF  - Journal of World Economic Research
    JO  - Journal of World Economic Research
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    PB  - Science Publishing Group
    SN  - 2328-7748
    UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.jwer.20140306.13
    AB  - Both the increase and the decrease of inflation rate (General Price level) are like a two side sharpened razor in an economy like Bangladesh. They both are harmful for an economy. Therefore, it has been attempted here to know about some experimented determinants of inflation. Moreover, in this respect a well-known econometric technique, namely, Autoregressive Distributed Lagged (ARDL) Model has been applied. By employing data series for 1972 to 2012, it has been indicated that the gross domestic product (GDPt), money supply (M2t), and interest rate (IRt) of current year of Bangladesh as well as previous year’s real exchange rate (RERt-1) and interest rate (IRt-1) have contributed to increase inflation in Bangladesh. It has also been noticed that current year’s real exchange rate (RERt) in Dollar and previous year’s money supply (M2t) have contributed to decrease the inflation rate. In our study, we emphasized on the significance of variables and availability of data because of which some important determinants like unemployment rate (Ut), remittance (REMt) and oil price (PPt) have been ignored in main model.
    VL  - 3
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Author Information
  • Department of Economics, University of Chittagong, Chittagong, Bangladesh

  • Research Assistant, Department of Economics, South Dakota State University, Brookings, USA

  • Professor, Department of Economics, University of Chittagong, Chittagong, Bangladesh

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