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The Real Effective Exchange Rate Misalignment: Application of Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate BEER to Algeria 1980-2009

Received: 23 September 2014    Accepted: 7 October 2014    Published: 30 October 2014
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Abstract

In this research paper, I determine equilibrium real exchange rate of Algerian Dinar (DZD) in order to see the influence of fundamental factors toward Algerian Dinar exchange rate, and to understand the appropriate level or sustainability long term trend. Furthermore, I figure out the misalignment for real exchange rate of Algerian dinar. The period of this research paper covers the post crisis era from 1980 to 2009 (quarterly). Using co-integrating regression, I find that variables OIL, GC, LQ, TR, NCF, CF, OPEN and TT have significant influence to real exchange rate in the long run. Misalignment episode gives us seven patterns of situation during this period which are undervaluation during the periods: 1981Q1-1984Q2, 1988Q1-1992Q4, 1994Q2-1996Q4, and 2002Q3-2008Q2; and overvaluation during the periods: 1984Q3-1987Q4, 1993Q1-1994Q1, and 1997Q1-2002Q2.

Published in International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences (Volume 2, Issue 5)
DOI 10.11648/j.ijefm.20140205.12
Page(s) 277-284
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Real Effective Exchange Rate, BEER, Algeria, Oil Price, Oil Exporting Country

References
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  • APA Style

    Abbes Hiri. (2014). The Real Effective Exchange Rate Misalignment: Application of Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate BEER to Algeria 1980-2009. International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences, 2(5), 277-284. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijefm.20140205.12

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    Abbes Hiri. The Real Effective Exchange Rate Misalignment: Application of Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate BEER to Algeria 1980-2009. Int. J. Econ. Finance Manag. Sci. 2014, 2(5), 277-284. doi: 10.11648/j.ijefm.20140205.12

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    AMA Style

    Abbes Hiri. The Real Effective Exchange Rate Misalignment: Application of Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate BEER to Algeria 1980-2009. Int J Econ Finance Manag Sci. 2014;2(5):277-284. doi: 10.11648/j.ijefm.20140205.12

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  • @article{10.11648/j.ijefm.20140205.12,
      author = {Abbes Hiri},
      title = {The Real Effective Exchange Rate Misalignment: Application of Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate BEER to Algeria 1980-2009},
      journal = {International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences},
      volume = {2},
      number = {5},
      pages = {277-284},
      doi = {10.11648/j.ijefm.20140205.12},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijefm.20140205.12},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ijefm.20140205.12},
      abstract = {In this research paper, I determine equilibrium real exchange rate of Algerian Dinar (DZD) in order to see the influence of fundamental factors toward Algerian Dinar exchange rate, and to understand the appropriate level or sustainability long term trend. Furthermore, I figure out the misalignment for real exchange rate of Algerian dinar. The period of this research paper covers the post crisis era from 1980 to 2009 (quarterly). Using co-integrating regression, I find that variables OIL, GC, LQ, TR, NCF, CF, OPEN and TT have significant influence to real exchange rate in the long run. Misalignment episode gives us seven patterns of situation during this period which are undervaluation during the periods: 1981Q1-1984Q2, 1988Q1-1992Q4, 1994Q2-1996Q4, and 2002Q3-2008Q2; and overvaluation during the periods: 1984Q3-1987Q4, 1993Q1-1994Q1, and 1997Q1-2002Q2.},
     year = {2014}
    }
    

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    AU  - Abbes Hiri
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    T2  - International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences
    JF  - International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences
    JO  - International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences
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    AB  - In this research paper, I determine equilibrium real exchange rate of Algerian Dinar (DZD) in order to see the influence of fundamental factors toward Algerian Dinar exchange rate, and to understand the appropriate level or sustainability long term trend. Furthermore, I figure out the misalignment for real exchange rate of Algerian dinar. The period of this research paper covers the post crisis era from 1980 to 2009 (quarterly). Using co-integrating regression, I find that variables OIL, GC, LQ, TR, NCF, CF, OPEN and TT have significant influence to real exchange rate in the long run. Misalignment episode gives us seven patterns of situation during this period which are undervaluation during the periods: 1981Q1-1984Q2, 1988Q1-1992Q4, 1994Q2-1996Q4, and 2002Q3-2008Q2; and overvaluation during the periods: 1984Q3-1987Q4, 1993Q1-1994Q1, and 1997Q1-2002Q2.
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  • School of Finance, Shanghai University of Finance & Economics, Shanghai, China

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