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A Design Unbiased Variance Estimator of the Systematic Sample Means

Received: 11 May 2015    Accepted: 18 May 2015    Published: 30 May 2015
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Abstract

Systematic sampling is normally used in surveys of finite populations because of its appealing simplicity and efficiency. When properly applied, it can reflect stratification in the population and thus can be more precise than SRS. In systematic sampling technique, the sampling units are evenly spread over the whole population. This sampling scheme is very sensitive to correlation between units in the entire population. A positive autocorrelation reduces the precision while a negative autocorrelation will improve the precision compared to simple random sampling. The limitation of this sampling method is that, it is not possible to estimate the design variance that is unbiased. This study proposes an estimator for the design variance based on a non-parametric model for the population using local polynomial regression as the estimation technique. The non-parametric model is more flexible that it can hold for many practical situations. A simulation study is performed to enable the comparison of the efficiency of the proposed estimator to the existing ones. The performance measures used include: Relative Bias (RB) and Mean Square Error (MSE). From the simulation results, it can be seen that local polynomial estimator based on nonparametric model is consistent and design unbiased for the variance of systematic sample mean. The simulation study gave smaller values for the relative biases and mean squared errors for proposed estimator.

Published in American Journal of Theoretical and Applied Statistics (Volume 4, Issue 3)
DOI 10.11648/j.ajtas.20150403.27
Page(s) 201-210
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Systematic Sampling, Local Polynomial Regression, Non-Parametric Model, Design Variance

References
[1] Ayora. O. Model based nonparametric varaince estimation in systematic sampling.
[2] Journal of Contemporary Research in Business Vol 5 No 12, 2014.
[3] F. Breidt and J. Opsomer. Local polynomial regression estimators in survey sampling. Annals of Statistics 28, 1026-1053, 2000.
[4] Cleveland W. S and Devlin S. Lolocal weighted regression: An approach to regression analysis by local fitting. Jounal of American Statiscal Association, vol 85,596-610, 1988.
[5] W. G. Cochran. Sampling Techniques. Wiley eastern, 1977
[6] J. Fan. Design-adaptive nonparametric regression. Jounal of American Statistical Association 87, 998-1004, 1992.
[7] J. Fan. Local linear regression smoother and their minimax efficiencies. Annals of statistics 21, 196-216, 1993.
[8] J. Fan and I. Gijbels. Data-driven bandwidth and local linear regression smothers. Jounal of the royal statistical scieciety, series B 57, 371-394, 1995.
[9] Fan and I. Gijbels. Local polynomial modemodel and its application. CRS press, 1996.
[10] Madow and L. Madow. On the theory of systematic sampling. Annals of Mathematical Statistics,25, pp.1-24, 1944.
[11] Montanari. G and Bartolucci. F. Estimating the variance of systematic sample mean. Journal of Italian statistical society, 7: 185-196, 1998.
[12] Montanari. G and Bartolucci. F. A new class of variance estimators of variance of the systematic sample means. Journal of Statistical planning and inference,136 pg1512-1525, 2006.
[13] Opsomer J. D and Ruppert. Fitting a bivariate additive model by local polynomial regression. Annals of statistics 25, 186-211, 1997.
[14] Rana and R. Singh. mean on systematic sampling with supplementary observation. The Indian Journal of Statiscs pg 205-211, 1989.
[15] Stone. Optimal rate of convergence for nonparametric estimators. Annals of statistics 8, 1348-1360, 1980,
[16] M. Wand and M. Jones. Kernel smoothing. Chapman and Hall, London, 1995.
[17] K. Wolter. Introduction to variance estimation. Springer, 2007.
[18] C. J. Wu. Estimation in systematic sampling with supplementary obervation. The Indian Journal of Statistics Vol 46,3 pg 306-315, 1984.
[19] X. Li. Application of nonparametric regression in survey statistics. Restrospective theses and Desertations, 2006.
[20] X. Li and J. Opsomer. Model-based variance estimation for systematic sampling. Department of Statistics, Iowa State University, Ames, IA 50011, 2010
[21] Zinger. Variance estimation in partially systematic sampling. Jounal of American
[22] Statiscal Association, vol 75,206-211, 1980.
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  • APA Style

    Festus A. Were, George Orwa, Romanus Odhiambo. (2015). A Design Unbiased Variance Estimator of the Systematic Sample Means. American Journal of Theoretical and Applied Statistics, 4(3), 201-210. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajtas.20150403.27

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    ACS Style

    Festus A. Were; George Orwa; Romanus Odhiambo. A Design Unbiased Variance Estimator of the Systematic Sample Means. Am. J. Theor. Appl. Stat. 2015, 4(3), 201-210. doi: 10.11648/j.ajtas.20150403.27

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    AMA Style

    Festus A. Were, George Orwa, Romanus Odhiambo. A Design Unbiased Variance Estimator of the Systematic Sample Means. Am J Theor Appl Stat. 2015;4(3):201-210. doi: 10.11648/j.ajtas.20150403.27

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  • @article{10.11648/j.ajtas.20150403.27,
      author = {Festus A. Were and George Orwa and Romanus Odhiambo},
      title = {A Design Unbiased Variance Estimator of the Systematic Sample Means},
      journal = {American Journal of Theoretical and Applied Statistics},
      volume = {4},
      number = {3},
      pages = {201-210},
      doi = {10.11648/j.ajtas.20150403.27},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajtas.20150403.27},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ajtas.20150403.27},
      abstract = {Systematic sampling is normally used in surveys of finite populations because of its appealing simplicity and efficiency. When properly applied, it can reflect stratification in the population and thus can be more precise than SRS. In systematic sampling technique, the sampling units are evenly spread over the whole population. This sampling scheme is very sensitive to correlation between units in the entire population. A positive autocorrelation reduces the precision while a negative autocorrelation will improve the precision compared to simple random sampling. The limitation of this sampling method is that, it is not possible to estimate the design variance that is unbiased. This study proposes an estimator for the design variance based on a non-parametric model for the population using local polynomial regression as the estimation technique. The non-parametric model is more flexible that it can hold for many practical situations. A simulation study is performed to enable the comparison of the efficiency of the proposed estimator to the existing ones. The performance measures used include: Relative Bias (RB) and Mean Square Error (MSE). From the simulation results, it can be seen that local polynomial estimator based on nonparametric model is consistent and design unbiased for the variance of systematic sample mean. The simulation study gave smaller values for the relative biases and mean squared errors for proposed estimator.},
     year = {2015}
    }
    

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    DO  - 10.11648/j.ajtas.20150403.27
    T2  - American Journal of Theoretical and Applied Statistics
    JF  - American Journal of Theoretical and Applied Statistics
    JO  - American Journal of Theoretical and Applied Statistics
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    AB  - Systematic sampling is normally used in surveys of finite populations because of its appealing simplicity and efficiency. When properly applied, it can reflect stratification in the population and thus can be more precise than SRS. In systematic sampling technique, the sampling units are evenly spread over the whole population. This sampling scheme is very sensitive to correlation between units in the entire population. A positive autocorrelation reduces the precision while a negative autocorrelation will improve the precision compared to simple random sampling. The limitation of this sampling method is that, it is not possible to estimate the design variance that is unbiased. This study proposes an estimator for the design variance based on a non-parametric model for the population using local polynomial regression as the estimation technique. The non-parametric model is more flexible that it can hold for many practical situations. A simulation study is performed to enable the comparison of the efficiency of the proposed estimator to the existing ones. The performance measures used include: Relative Bias (RB) and Mean Square Error (MSE). From the simulation results, it can be seen that local polynomial estimator based on nonparametric model is consistent and design unbiased for the variance of systematic sample mean. The simulation study gave smaller values for the relative biases and mean squared errors for proposed estimator.
    VL  - 4
    IS  - 3
    ER  - 

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Author Information
  • Jomo Kenyatta University of Agriculture and Technology, School of Mathematical Sciences, Nairobi, Kenya

  • Jomo Kenyatta University of Agriculture and Technology, School of Mathematical Sciences, Nairobi, Kenya

  • Jomo Kenyatta University of Agriculture and Technology, School of Mathematical Sciences, Nairobi, Kenya

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