The Hazards of Noise in Military Decision Making and Strategies for Coping

Li Shifei; Gao Kaixiang; Liu Yang

doi:doi:10.11648/j.si.20231103.23

| Peer-Reviewed

The Hazards of Noise in Military Decision Making and Strategies for Coping

Li Shifei, Gao Kaixiang, Liu Yang

Published in Science Innovation (Volume 11, Issue 3)

Received: 8 May 2023 Accepted: 5 June 2023 Published: 14 June 2023

Views: Downloads:

Download PDF

Share This Article

Twitter
Linked In
Facebook

Abstract

Physical noise is known to have a wide range of effects on human memory, reasoning, and other basic cognitive abilities. In this paper, we generalize the concept of noise to decision making behavior and study the hazards of noise in military decision making and coping strategies. Decision noise has always seemed like insignificant background information that is easily ignored by decision makers. In fact, decision noise is prevalent and greatly affects the decision quality of decision makers as an important factor that influences decision making. This paper explains the meaning of decision noise and classifies decision noise into level noise, pattern noise and scenario noise according to the difference of decision noise. On this basis, the characteristics of decision noise, universality, two-sidedness and concealment are summarized. Subsequently, the CECA decision model is used to analyze the mechanism of noise influence on military decision making, and a typical case of noise influence on military decision making is given. In response to the mechanism of noise influencing military decision making, the paper gives three strategies for coping with decision noise, and these coping strategies can serve as useful references for military decision makers at different levels. Finally, an outlook on military decision maker noise for psychological warfare to achieve established military behavior is given.

Published in	Science Innovation (Volume 11, Issue 3)
DOI	10.11648/j.si.20231103.23
Page(s)	164-168
Creative Commons	This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright	Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Noise, Military Decision-Making, Cognitive Bias, Coping Strategies

References

[1]	陈秉岩, 张敏, 苏巍, 刘晓红, 刘翠红. 新工科大学物理实验 [M]. 南京大学出版社: 21世纪高等院校物理实验教学改革示范教材, 2018.
[2]	盛猷宇, 王晓庄. 噪音对决策行为的影响: 基于描述信息和经验信息的视角. 第二十二届全国心理学学术会议摘要集 [M]. 中国心理学会, 2019.
[3]	丹尼尔•卡尼曼, 奥利维耶•西博尼, 卡斯•R. 桑斯坦. 噪声 [M]. 浙江: 浙江教育出版社, 2022.
[4]	郭羿锋. 用因果思维法解作文题 [J]. 中学文科, 1995 (06): 22-23.
[5]	潘峰. 建思维模型书锦绣文章——以因果思维训练为例 [J]. 读写月报, 2016 (06): 30-33.
[6]	苗丹民, 严进, 冯正直, 等. 军事心理学 [M]. 上海: 华东师范大学出版社, 2020.
[7]	Ancker C. J. & Flynn M. Field Manual 5 - 0: Exercising command and control in an era of persistent conflict [J]. Military Review, 2010, March-April: 13-19.
[8]	李庆西. 空城计札记 [J]. 读书, 2020 (8): 9.
[9]	马勇. 简论美对我赴朝参战问题情报评估失误原因--基于美国对华情报解密档案解读 [J]. 学理论, 2015 (5): 2.
[10]	蒋怀滨, 张斌. 心理学研究方法 [M]. 厦门大学出版社, 2019.
[11]	唐明. 聚焦意义建构的语文深度阅读教学研究 [D]. 四川师范大学, 2022.
[12]	朱晓峰, 王忠军, 张卫. 大数据分析指南 [M]. 南京大学出版社, 2021.
[13]	王宏. 电子系统可靠性工程技术 [M]. 南京大学出版社, 2021.
[14]	米娜，沃尔夫冈，王尔笙译. 决策与判断：走出无意识偏见的心理误区 [M]. 中国人民大学出版社, 2017.

Cite This Article

Plain Text BibTeX RIS

APA Style

Li Shifei, Gao Kaixiang, Liu Yang. (2023). The Hazards of Noise in Military Decision Making and Strategies for Coping. Science Innovation, 11(3), 164-168. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.si.20231103.23

Copy | Download

ACS Style

Li Shifei; Gao Kaixiang; Liu Yang. The Hazards of Noise in Military Decision Making and Strategies for Coping. Sci. Innov. 2023, 11(3), 164-168. doi: 10.11648/j.si.20231103.23

Copy | Download

AMA Style

Li Shifei, Gao Kaixiang, Liu Yang. The Hazards of Noise in Military Decision Making and Strategies for Coping. Sci Innov. 2023;11(3):164-168. doi: 10.11648/j.si.20231103.23

Copy | Download

@article{10.11648/j.si.20231103.23,
  author = {Li Shifei and Gao Kaixiang and Liu Yang},
  title = {The Hazards of Noise in Military Decision Making and Strategies for Coping},
  journal = {Science Innovation},
  volume = {11},
  number = {3},
  pages = {164-168},
  doi = {10.11648/j.si.20231103.23},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.si.20231103.23},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.si.20231103.23},
  abstract = {Physical noise is known to have a wide range of effects on human memory, reasoning, and other basic cognitive abilities. In this paper, we generalize the concept of noise to decision making behavior and study the hazards of noise in military decision making and coping strategies. Decision noise has always seemed like insignificant background information that is easily ignored by decision makers. In fact, decision noise is prevalent and greatly affects the decision quality of decision makers as an important factor that influences decision making. This paper explains the meaning of decision noise and classifies decision noise into level noise, pattern noise and scenario noise according to the difference of decision noise. On this basis, the characteristics of decision noise, universality, two-sidedness and concealment are summarized. Subsequently, the CECA decision model is used to analyze the mechanism of noise influence on military decision making, and a typical case of noise influence on military decision making is given. In response to the mechanism of noise influencing military decision making, the paper gives three strategies for coping with decision noise, and these coping strategies can serve as useful references for military decision makers at different levels. Finally, an outlook on military decision maker noise for psychological warfare to achieve established military behavior is given.},
 year = {2023}
}

Copy | Download

TY  - JOUR
T1  - The Hazards of Noise in Military Decision Making and Strategies for Coping
AU  - Li Shifei
AU  - Gao Kaixiang
AU  - Liu Yang
Y1  - 2023/06/14
PY  - 2023
N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.si.20231103.23
DO  - 10.11648/j.si.20231103.23
T2  - Science Innovation
JF  - Science Innovation
JO  - Science Innovation
SP  - 164
EP  - 168
PB  - Science Publishing Group
SN  - 2328-787X
UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.si.20231103.23
AB  - Physical noise is known to have a wide range of effects on human memory, reasoning, and other basic cognitive abilities. In this paper, we generalize the concept of noise to decision making behavior and study the hazards of noise in military decision making and coping strategies. Decision noise has always seemed like insignificant background information that is easily ignored by decision makers. In fact, decision noise is prevalent and greatly affects the decision quality of decision makers as an important factor that influences decision making. This paper explains the meaning of decision noise and classifies decision noise into level noise, pattern noise and scenario noise according to the difference of decision noise. On this basis, the characteristics of decision noise, universality, two-sidedness and concealment are summarized. Subsequently, the CECA decision model is used to analyze the mechanism of noise influence on military decision making, and a typical case of noise influence on military decision making is given. In response to the mechanism of noise influencing military decision making, the paper gives three strategies for coping with decision noise, and these coping strategies can serve as useful references for military decision makers at different levels. Finally, an outlook on military decision maker noise for psychological warfare to achieve established military behavior is given.
VL  - 11
IS  - 3
ER  -

Copy | Download

Author Information

Li Shifei

Department of Early Warming Technology, Air Force Early Warming Academy, Wuhan, China
Gao Kaixiang

Third Group of Students, Air Force Early Warming Academy, Wuhan, China
Liu Yang

Department of Early Warming Technology, Air Force Early Warming Academy, Wuhan, China

Download PDF

Sections

Plain Text BibTeX RIS

APA Style

Li Shifei, Gao Kaixiang, Liu Yang. (2023). The Hazards of Noise in Military Decision Making and Strategies for Coping. Science Innovation, 11(3), 164-168. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.si.20231103.23

Copy | Download

ACS Style

Li Shifei; Gao Kaixiang; Liu Yang. The Hazards of Noise in Military Decision Making and Strategies for Coping. Sci. Innov. 2023, 11(3), 164-168. doi: 10.11648/j.si.20231103.23

Copy | Download

AMA Style

Li Shifei, Gao Kaixiang, Liu Yang. The Hazards of Noise in Military Decision Making and Strategies for Coping. Sci Innov. 2023;11(3):164-168. doi: 10.11648/j.si.20231103.23

Copy | Download

@article{10.11648/j.si.20231103.23,
  author = {Li Shifei and Gao Kaixiang and Liu Yang},
  title = {The Hazards of Noise in Military Decision Making and Strategies for Coping},
  journal = {Science Innovation},
  volume = {11},
  number = {3},
  pages = {164-168},
  doi = {10.11648/j.si.20231103.23},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.si.20231103.23},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.si.20231103.23},
  abstract = {Physical noise is known to have a wide range of effects on human memory, reasoning, and other basic cognitive abilities. In this paper, we generalize the concept of noise to decision making behavior and study the hazards of noise in military decision making and coping strategies. Decision noise has always seemed like insignificant background information that is easily ignored by decision makers. In fact, decision noise is prevalent and greatly affects the decision quality of decision makers as an important factor that influences decision making. This paper explains the meaning of decision noise and classifies decision noise into level noise, pattern noise and scenario noise according to the difference of decision noise. On this basis, the characteristics of decision noise, universality, two-sidedness and concealment are summarized. Subsequently, the CECA decision model is used to analyze the mechanism of noise influence on military decision making, and a typical case of noise influence on military decision making is given. In response to the mechanism of noise influencing military decision making, the paper gives three strategies for coping with decision noise, and these coping strategies can serve as useful references for military decision makers at different levels. Finally, an outlook on military decision maker noise for psychological warfare to achieve established military behavior is given.},
 year = {2023}
}

Copy | Download

TY  - JOUR
T1  - The Hazards of Noise in Military Decision Making and Strategies for Coping
AU  - Li Shifei
AU  - Gao Kaixiang
AU  - Liu Yang
Y1  - 2023/06/14
PY  - 2023
N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.si.20231103.23
DO  - 10.11648/j.si.20231103.23
T2  - Science Innovation
JF  - Science Innovation
JO  - Science Innovation
SP  - 164
EP  - 168
PB  - Science Publishing Group
SN  - 2328-787X
UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.si.20231103.23
AB  - Physical noise is known to have a wide range of effects on human memory, reasoning, and other basic cognitive abilities. In this paper, we generalize the concept of noise to decision making behavior and study the hazards of noise in military decision making and coping strategies. Decision noise has always seemed like insignificant background information that is easily ignored by decision makers. In fact, decision noise is prevalent and greatly affects the decision quality of decision makers as an important factor that influences decision making. This paper explains the meaning of decision noise and classifies decision noise into level noise, pattern noise and scenario noise according to the difference of decision noise. On this basis, the characteristics of decision noise, universality, two-sidedness and concealment are summarized. Subsequently, the CECA decision model is used to analyze the mechanism of noise influence on military decision making, and a typical case of noise influence on military decision making is given. In response to the mechanism of noise influencing military decision making, the paper gives three strategies for coping with decision noise, and these coping strategies can serve as useful references for military decision makers at different levels. Finally, an outlook on military decision maker noise for psychological warfare to achieve established military behavior is given.
VL  - 11
IS  - 3
ER  -

Copy | Download