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An Investigation About Political Budget Cycle in the Electoral Period in American Countries

Received: 30 January 2023    Accepted: 2 March 2023    Published: 27 June 2023
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Abstract

Considering the new wave of discussion on the expenses made during electoral periods in democratic governments in specialized literature, in which governments stimulate the economy in election years to prospect votes and stay in power, concentrating greater spending on media actions to influence voters in choosing their vote, this study explores the Political Budget Cycles (PBC) and their contributions during the presidential election period, in the governments of the Americas from 1990 to 2019, with the objective of identifying the impact on spending on education (SU), health (HEA), national security (NS), transportation and communication (TC), as well as on the budget deficit (BD), budget surplus (BS), gross domestic product (GDP), human development index (HDI), and unemployment rate (UR). This was done using the random effects statistical method of tobit regression for pooled panel data on expenditures incurred in the 37 American countries. The results are robust and diverge from other studies, as also show that the investigated expenditures do not undergo significant changes in the election period, as suggested by other studies, and that the presence of Political Budget Cycles in democratic countries contributes positively to the economic and human development of these countries located in the Americas.

Published in Journal of Finance and Accounting (Volume 11, Issue 3)
DOI 10.11648/j.jfa.20231103.15
Page(s) 95-106
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Political Budget Cycles, Panel Data, Presidential Election

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Cite This Article
  • APA Style

    Gilberto Crispim, Marcus Craig Rodrigs, Luiz Alberton. (2023). An Investigation About Political Budget Cycle in the Electoral Period in American Countries. Journal of Finance and Accounting, 11(3), 95-106. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.jfa.20231103.15

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    ACS Style

    Gilberto Crispim; Marcus Craig Rodrigs; Luiz Alberton. An Investigation About Political Budget Cycle in the Electoral Period in American Countries. J. Finance Account. 2023, 11(3), 95-106. doi: 10.11648/j.jfa.20231103.15

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    AMA Style

    Gilberto Crispim, Marcus Craig Rodrigs, Luiz Alberton. An Investigation About Political Budget Cycle in the Electoral Period in American Countries. J Finance Account. 2023;11(3):95-106. doi: 10.11648/j.jfa.20231103.15

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  • @article{10.11648/j.jfa.20231103.15,
      author = {Gilberto Crispim and Marcus Craig Rodrigs and Luiz Alberton},
      title = {An Investigation About Political Budget Cycle in the Electoral Period in American Countries},
      journal = {Journal of Finance and Accounting},
      volume = {11},
      number = {3},
      pages = {95-106},
      doi = {10.11648/j.jfa.20231103.15},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.jfa.20231103.15},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.jfa.20231103.15},
      abstract = {Considering the new wave of discussion on the expenses made during electoral periods in democratic governments in specialized literature, in which governments stimulate the economy in election years to prospect votes and stay in power, concentrating greater spending on media actions to influence voters in choosing their vote, this study explores the Political Budget Cycles (PBC) and their contributions during the presidential election period, in the governments of the Americas from 1990 to 2019, with the objective of identifying the impact on spending on education (SU), health (HEA), national security (NS), transportation and communication (TC), as well as on the budget deficit (BD), budget surplus (BS), gross domestic product (GDP), human development index (HDI), and unemployment rate (UR). This was done using the random effects statistical method of tobit regression for pooled panel data on expenditures incurred in the 37 American countries. The results are robust and diverge from other studies, as also show that the investigated expenditures do not undergo significant changes in the election period, as suggested by other studies, and that the presence of Political Budget Cycles in democratic countries contributes positively to the economic and human development of these countries located in the Americas.},
     year = {2023}
    }
    

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  • TY  - JOUR
    T1  - An Investigation About Political Budget Cycle in the Electoral Period in American Countries
    AU  - Gilberto Crispim
    AU  - Marcus Craig Rodrigs
    AU  - Luiz Alberton
    Y1  - 2023/06/27
    PY  - 2023
    N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.jfa.20231103.15
    DO  - 10.11648/j.jfa.20231103.15
    T2  - Journal of Finance and Accounting
    JF  - Journal of Finance and Accounting
    JO  - Journal of Finance and Accounting
    SP  - 95
    EP  - 106
    PB  - Science Publishing Group
    SN  - 2330-7323
    UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.jfa.20231103.15
    AB  - Considering the new wave of discussion on the expenses made during electoral periods in democratic governments in specialized literature, in which governments stimulate the economy in election years to prospect votes and stay in power, concentrating greater spending on media actions to influence voters in choosing their vote, this study explores the Political Budget Cycles (PBC) and their contributions during the presidential election period, in the governments of the Americas from 1990 to 2019, with the objective of identifying the impact on spending on education (SU), health (HEA), national security (NS), transportation and communication (TC), as well as on the budget deficit (BD), budget surplus (BS), gross domestic product (GDP), human development index (HDI), and unemployment rate (UR). This was done using the random effects statistical method of tobit regression for pooled panel data on expenditures incurred in the 37 American countries. The results are robust and diverge from other studies, as also show that the investigated expenditures do not undergo significant changes in the election period, as suggested by other studies, and that the presence of Political Budget Cycles in democratic countries contributes positively to the economic and human development of these countries located in the Americas.
    VL  - 11
    IS  - 3
    ER  - 

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Author Information
  • Special Academic Unit Applied Social Sciences, Federal University of Goias, Goias, Brazil

  • Faculty of Business and Law, The University of Newcastle, New South Wales, Australia

  • Accounting Faculty, Federal University of Santa Catarina, Florianópolis, Brazil

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