| Peer-Reviewed

Development of an Empirical Ground Motion Prediction Model for North East India and Bangladesh Region

Received: 24 March 2022    Accepted: 11 July 2022    Published: 29 August 2022
Views:       Downloads:
Abstract

This article represents Ground-Motion Prediction Equations (GMPEs) for the North-East Indian region and Bangladesh derived from Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) strong motion database, following a standard regression approach. The database consists of 1608 three-component (North-South, East-West, and Vertical) time history records from 160 earthquakes having a magnitude between 2 to 8 from 2005 to 2017. The predicted ground parameters are expressed as a function of magnitude, distance (epicentral distance or hypocentral distance), and site category. The model uses a magnitude-independent shape according to geometrical spreading and anelastic attenuation for the attenuation relationships. The parametric GMPEs based on horizontal and vertical ground motions (peak ground acceleration, peak ground velocity) and spectral values (0.3 s, 1.0 s & 2.0 s.) have been developed in this study for rock, soft rock, and firm soil sites. The predictive values of horizontal and vertical components for firm soil sites are larger than those of soft rock and rock sites under the same conditions for a given earthquake event. Moreover, this study compares the effects of near-field earthquakes with far-field earthquakes and reveals that near-field earthquakes amplify more than far-field ones. This research also explains that the developed attenuation curves are depth and magnitude-independent and have no distance dependency.

Published in International Journal of Environmental Monitoring and Analysis (Volume 10, Issue 4)
DOI 10.11648/j.ijema.20221004.11
Page(s) 96-103
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Ground Motion Prediction Equation, Regression Approach, Horizontal and Vertical Component, Spectral Value

References
[1] Ambraseys, N., Douglas, J., Sarma, S., and Smit, P. (2005). "Equations for the estimation of strong ground motions from shallow crustal earthquakes using data from Europe and the Middle East: horizontal peak ground acceleration and spectral acceleration". Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, 3 (1), 1-53.
[2] Ambraseys, N. N., Simpson, K. u., and Bommer, J. J. (1996). "Prediction of horizontal response spectra in Europe". Earthquake engineering & structural dynamics, 25 (4), 371-400.
[3] Anderson, J. G., and Lei, Y. (1994). "Nonparametric description of peak acceleration as a function of magnitude, distance, and site in Guerrero, Mexico". Bulletin of the seismological Society of America, 84 (4), 1003-1017.
[4] Bindi, D., Massa, M., Luzi, L., Ameri, G., Pacor, F., Puglia, R., and Augliera, P. (2014). "Pan-European ground-motion prediction equations for the average horizontal component of PGA, PGV, and 5%-damped PSA at spectral periods up to 3.0 s using the RESORCE dataset". Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, 12 (1), 391-430.
[5] Bommer, J. J., and Akkar, S. (2012). "Consistent source-to-site distance metrics in ground-motion prediction equations and seismic source models for PSHA". Earthquake Spectra, 28 (1), 1-15.
[6] Bommer, J. J., Douglas, J., Scherbaum, F., Cotton, F., Bungum, H., and Fäh, D. (2010). "On the selection of ground-motion prediction equations for seismic hazard analysis". Seismological research letters, 81 (5), 783-793.
[7] Bommer, J. J., Douglas, J., and Strasser, F. O. (2003). "Style-of-faulting in ground-motion prediction equations". Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, 1 (2), 171-203.
[8] Bommer, J. J., Stafford, P. J., and Alarcón, J. E. (2009). "Empirical equations for the prediction of the significant, bracketed, and uniform duration of earthquake ground motion". Bulletin of the seismological Society of America, 99 (6), 3217-3233.
[9] Boore, D. M., and Atkinson, G. M. (2008). "Ground-motion prediction equations for the average horizontal component of PGA, PGV, and 5%-damped PSA at spectral periods between 0.01 s and 10.0 s". Earthquake Spectra, 24 (1), 99-138.
[10] Borcherdt, R. D. (1994). "Estimates of site-dependent response spectra for design (methodology and justification)". Earthquake Spectra, 10 (4), 617-653.
[11] Bozorgnia, Y., and Niazi, M. (1993). "Distance scaling of vertical and horizontal response spectra of the Loma Prieta earthquake". Earthquake engineering & structural dynamics, 22 (8), 695-707.
[12] Brillinger, D. R., and Preisler, H. K. (1984). "An exploratory analysis of the Joyner-Boore attenuation data". Bulletin of the seismological Society of America, 74 (4), 1441-1450.
[13] Campbell, K. W. (1981). "Near-source attenuation of peak horizontal acceleration". Bulletin of the seismological Society of America, 71 (6), 2039-2070.
[14] Chaulagain, H., Rodrigues, H., Silva, V., Spacone, E., and Varum, H. (2015). "Seismic risk assessment and hazard mapping in Nepal". Natural Hazards, 78 (1), 583-602.
[15] Coburn, A., and Spence, R. (2003). Earthquake protection: John Wiley & Sons.
[16] Cornell, C. A., Banon, H., and Shakal, A. F. (1979). "Seismic motion and response prediction alternatives". Earthquake engineering & structural dynamics, 7 (4), 295-315.
[17] Crouse, C., and McGuire, J. (1996). "Site response studies for purpose of revising NEHRP seismic provisions". Earthquake Spectra, 12 (3), 407-439.
[18] Darragh, R. B., and Shakal, A. F. (1991). "The site response of two rock and soil station pairs to strong and weak ground motion". Bulletin of the seismological Society of America, 81 (5), 1885-1899.
[19] Graizer, V., and Kalkan, E. (2007). "Ground motion attenuation model for peak horizontal acceleration from shallow crustal earthquakes". Earthquake Spectra, 23 (3), 585-613.
[20] Hasegawa, H., Basham, P., and Berry, M. (1981). "Attenuation relations for strong seismic ground motion in Canada". Bulletin of the seismological Society of America, 71 (6), 1943-1962.
[21] Heydari, M., and Mousavi, M. (2015). "The comparison of seismic effects of near-field and far-field earthquakes on relative displacement of seven-storey concrete building with shear wall". Current World Environment, 10 (Special Issue), 40.
[22] Idriss, I. (1991). "Earthquake ground motions at soft soil sites".
[23] Joyner, W. B., and Boore, D. M. (1981). "Peak horizontal acceleration and velocity from strong-motion records including records from the 1979 Imperial Valley, California, earthquake". Bulletin of the seismological Society of America, 71 (6), 2011-2038.
[24] Joyner, W. B., and Boore, D. M. (1982). Prediction of earthquake response spectra: US Geological Survey Open-file report.
[25] Liao, Y., and Meneses, J. (2013). "Engineering characteristics of ground motion records from the 2010 Mw 7.2 El Mayor–Cucapah earthquake in Mexico". Earthquake Spectra, 29 (1), 177-205.
[26] Nakamura, Y. (1989). "A method for dynamic characteristics estimation of subsurface using microtremor on the ground surface". Railway Technical Research Institute, Quarterly Reports, 30 (1).
[27] Pérez, O. J. (1999). "Revised world seismicity catalog (1950-1997) for strong (Ms≥6) shallow (h≤70 km) earthquakes". Bulletin of the seismological Society of America, 89 (2), 335-341.
[28] Rathje, E. M., Faraj, F., Russell, S., and Bray, J. D. (2004). "Empirical relationships for frequency content parameters of earthquake ground motions". Earthquake Spectra, 20 (1), 119-144.
[29] Rehman, K., Ali, W., Ali, A., Ali, A., and Barkat, A. (2017). "Shallow and intermediate depth earthquakes in the Hindu Kush region across the Afghan-Pakistan border". Journal of Asian Earth Sciences, 148, 241-253.
[30] Schoups, G., and Vrugt, J. A. (2010). "A formal likelihood function for parameter and predictive inference of hydrologic models with correlated, heteroscedastic, and non-Gaussian errors". Water resources research, 46 (10).
[31] Stein, S., and Wysession, M. (2009). An introduction to seismology, earthquakes, and earth structure: John Wiley & Sons.
[32] Van Der Elst, N. J., and Brodsky, E. E. (2010). "Connecting near-field and far-field earthquake triggering to dynamic strain". Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 115 (B7).
Cite This Article
  • APA Style

    Tanzila Tabassum, Mehedi Ahmed Ansary. (2022). Development of an Empirical Ground Motion Prediction Model for North East India and Bangladesh Region. International Journal of Environmental Monitoring and Analysis, 10(4), 96-103. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijema.20221004.11

    Copy | Download

    ACS Style

    Tanzila Tabassum; Mehedi Ahmed Ansary. Development of an Empirical Ground Motion Prediction Model for North East India and Bangladesh Region. Int. J. Environ. Monit. Anal. 2022, 10(4), 96-103. doi: 10.11648/j.ijema.20221004.11

    Copy | Download

    AMA Style

    Tanzila Tabassum, Mehedi Ahmed Ansary. Development of an Empirical Ground Motion Prediction Model for North East India and Bangladesh Region. Int J Environ Monit Anal. 2022;10(4):96-103. doi: 10.11648/j.ijema.20221004.11

    Copy | Download

  • @article{10.11648/j.ijema.20221004.11,
      author = {Tanzila Tabassum and Mehedi Ahmed Ansary},
      title = {Development of an Empirical Ground Motion Prediction Model for North East India and Bangladesh Region},
      journal = {International Journal of Environmental Monitoring and Analysis},
      volume = {10},
      number = {4},
      pages = {96-103},
      doi = {10.11648/j.ijema.20221004.11},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijema.20221004.11},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ijema.20221004.11},
      abstract = {This article represents Ground-Motion Prediction Equations (GMPEs) for the North-East Indian region and Bangladesh derived from Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) strong motion database, following a standard regression approach. The database consists of 1608 three-component (North-South, East-West, and Vertical) time history records from 160 earthquakes having a magnitude between 2 to 8 from 2005 to 2017. The predicted ground parameters are expressed as a function of magnitude, distance (epicentral distance or hypocentral distance), and site category. The model uses a magnitude-independent shape according to geometrical spreading and anelastic attenuation for the attenuation relationships. The parametric GMPEs based on horizontal and vertical ground motions (peak ground acceleration, peak ground velocity) and spectral values (0.3 s, 1.0 s & 2.0 s.) have been developed in this study for rock, soft rock, and firm soil sites. The predictive values of horizontal and vertical components for firm soil sites are larger than those of soft rock and rock sites under the same conditions for a given earthquake event. Moreover, this study compares the effects of near-field earthquakes with far-field earthquakes and reveals that near-field earthquakes amplify more than far-field ones. This research also explains that the developed attenuation curves are depth and magnitude-independent and have no distance dependency.},
     year = {2022}
    }
    

    Copy | Download

  • TY  - JOUR
    T1  - Development of an Empirical Ground Motion Prediction Model for North East India and Bangladesh Region
    AU  - Tanzila Tabassum
    AU  - Mehedi Ahmed Ansary
    Y1  - 2022/08/29
    PY  - 2022
    N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijema.20221004.11
    DO  - 10.11648/j.ijema.20221004.11
    T2  - International Journal of Environmental Monitoring and Analysis
    JF  - International Journal of Environmental Monitoring and Analysis
    JO  - International Journal of Environmental Monitoring and Analysis
    SP  - 96
    EP  - 103
    PB  - Science Publishing Group
    SN  - 2328-7667
    UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijema.20221004.11
    AB  - This article represents Ground-Motion Prediction Equations (GMPEs) for the North-East Indian region and Bangladesh derived from Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) strong motion database, following a standard regression approach. The database consists of 1608 three-component (North-South, East-West, and Vertical) time history records from 160 earthquakes having a magnitude between 2 to 8 from 2005 to 2017. The predicted ground parameters are expressed as a function of magnitude, distance (epicentral distance or hypocentral distance), and site category. The model uses a magnitude-independent shape according to geometrical spreading and anelastic attenuation for the attenuation relationships. The parametric GMPEs based on horizontal and vertical ground motions (peak ground acceleration, peak ground velocity) and spectral values (0.3 s, 1.0 s & 2.0 s.) have been developed in this study for rock, soft rock, and firm soil sites. The predictive values of horizontal and vertical components for firm soil sites are larger than those of soft rock and rock sites under the same conditions for a given earthquake event. Moreover, this study compares the effects of near-field earthquakes with far-field earthquakes and reveals that near-field earthquakes amplify more than far-field ones. This research also explains that the developed attenuation curves are depth and magnitude-independent and have no distance dependency.
    VL  - 10
    IS  - 4
    ER  - 

    Copy | Download

Author Information
  • Transportation and Infrastructure Division, Applied Research Associates Inc. (ARA), Champaign, USA

  • Department of Civil Engineering, Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology, Dhaka, Bangladesh

  • Sections